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04.09.2025 05:07 AM
2025年9月4日歐元/美元預測

EUR/USD

截至週三,歐元上漲了20點,將在1.1632水平下方的鞏固推遲至稍晚的時間,可能今天的燭線會收在支撐位下方,因為8月的ISM服務業PMI預期從50.1上升至50.9。

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然而,這種樂觀的情景可能會因ADP公佈新的私營部門就業數據而受到干擾。8月份的預測為73,000,相較於7月份的104,000。在一個月前D. Trump與勞工統計局的醜聞之後,這些數據可能會增加市場波動性。這種波動性的上限是MACD線在1.1735。

數據有可能是中性的,歐元將繼續在1.1632水平之上整固。問題是——市場會選擇在什麼區間等待美聯儲最終降息?目前來看,這個區間似乎是1.1495–1.1632。

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在H4圖表上,歐元的增長被MACD線止住。Marlin振盪指標在第一次嘗試時無法突破至正值區域。因此,我們靜待今天的就業數據,歐元可能在1.1632至1.1683的範圍內交易,其中1.1683是昨日的高點。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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